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Lewis

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  1. Record Breaking westerly winds have been observed in the Western Pacific Ocean for the second time this year, this is very unusual behavior, and it is a cause of concern as the winds is driving warm water faster to South America. This behavior could trigger a surge in heat worldwide, 2026 could potentially be hottest if El Nino does emerge soon. if 2026 becomes hottest, 2027 will be even hotter.
  2. EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO) DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION issued by CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP/NWS 12 February 2026 ENSO Alert System Status: La Niña Advisory Synopsis: A transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral is expected in February-April 2026 (60% chance), with ENSO-neutral likely persisting through the Northern Hemisphere summer (56% chance in June-August 2026). La Niña continued in January 2026, with below-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) observed in the east-central equatorial Pacific Ocean [Fig. 1]. The latest weekly Niño-3.4 index value was -0.9°C, with the westernmost (Niño-4) and easternmost (Niño-1+2) indices at -0.4°C and 0.0°C, respectively [Fig. 2]. The equatorial subsurface temperature index (average from 180°-100°W) significantly increased [Fig. 3], reflecting the strengthening and expansion of above-average subsurface temperatures across the Pacific Ocean [Fig. 4]. Atmospheric anomalies weakened due to subseasonal variability, but still reflected aspects of La Niña. Low-level westerly wind anomalies were present over the western equatorial Pacific, and upper-level westerly wind anomalies continued across the east-central equatorial Pacific. Suppressed convection was weakly evident near the Date Line and over the equatorial Maritime Continent, with enhanced convection located off the equator [Fig. 5]. The traditional and equatorial Southern Oscillation indices were positive. Collectively, the coupled ocean-atmosphere system remained consistent with La Niña. The North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) average, including the NCEP CFSv2 [Fig. 6], favor the onset of ENSO-neutral in February-April 2026. The team consensus also reflects this outcome, with ENSO-neutral persisting through the Northern Hemisphere summer 2026. For the late summer and beyond, there is a 50-60% chance of El Niño forming, though model uncertainty remains considerable and forecasts made this time of year tend to have lower accuracy. In summary, a transition from La Niña to ENSO-neutral is expected in February-April 2026 (60% chance), with ENSO-neutral likely persisting through the Northern Hemisphere summer (56% chance in June-August 2026; [Fig. 7]). This discussion is a consolidated effort of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), NOAA's National Weather Service, and their funded institutions. Oceanic and atmospheric conditions are updated weekly on the Climate Prediction Center web site (El Niño/La Niña Current Conditions and Expert Discussions). A probabilistic strength forecast is available here. The next ENSO Diagnostics Discussion is scheduled for 12 March 2026.
  3. A third carrier group USS Roosevelt is now positioned in the eastern part of the Mediterranean Sea, right by Israel. https://x.com/FaytuksNetwork/status/2014338900584534307?s=20
  4. This carrier group has arrived and there’s a big US military build up happening to the Middle East. Something tells me something big is about to happen.
  5. A second carrier strike group USS George Bush has been deployed to the Mediterranean Sea. https://x.com/MonitorX99800/status/2012093947309646291?s=20
  6. This is the new normal. 2027 will be a new record for sure.
  7. Earthquake of 6.0 just happened in the Oregon area tonight, not exactly San Francisco but it’s about 500 miles away. I’d say their projection was close. Dutchsinse just released a video discussing this earthquake on a new video he posted just now.
  8. NASA declares 2025 as second hottest on Record. WMO declares 2025 as the third hottest year on record @ 1.44C based on these 8 agencies average. 2 new additional dataset were added this year. NASA GISTEMP (1.45C) 2nd Hottest Hadley/UAE HadCRUTS (1.39C) 3rd NOAA GlobalTemp (1.41C) 3rd Berkeley Earth (1.44C) 3rd Copernicus ERA5 (1.47C) 3rd JRA-3Q (1.46C) 3rd 2 additional added this year DCENT (1.44C) 2nd China-MST (1.42C) 3rd December 2025 Global Temperature Update & Year, Fifth Warmest December on Record +1.35°C Temperature Mean (1880-1920) Current record (2024) (+1.65C) +1.45°C For the Year (NASA) +1.44°C For the Year (WMO)
  9. The US has now deployed the USS Abraham Lincoln strike group to CENTCOM's Area of Responsibility.
  10. Yeah no kidding, I read an article that about 70,000 or more flying foxes died during this event. Just horrible.
  11. I hear the real number of protesters killed are much higher, but its hard to confirm anything right now.
  12. That heatwave became the hottest day since Black summer of 2019/2020. https://www.weatherzone.com.au/news/rural-victoria-hits-465c-as-melbourne-suburbs-top-44c/1891130
  13. Cool.. Imagine how much more heat it will be for 2026 and 2027 during an El Niño. Global Warming will soon be called Global Boiling.
  14. Ocean heat content sets another record in 2025, approx 23 zettajoules of heat accumulated increase in 2025. https://phys.org/news/2026-01-ocean-temperatures-high.html “The world's oceans absorbed a record amount of heat in 2025, an international team of scientists said Friday, further priming conditions for sea level rise, violent storms, and coral death.”

Lewis last won the day on December 29 2022

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About Lewis

  • Birthday October 29

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    Carl
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