Lewis

Global Temperature for 2025, 2026, 2027 Global temperature so far in 2025 is at 1.47C with 1 month to go, making 2025 second warmest in the period of instrumental data (1880) so far. Normally during a La Nina the earth will cool down by about -0.2C, however it only cooled by -0.1C, This is showing Global Warming is so much stronger and overpowering. This weak La Nina will continue for another 2 to 3 months and Global temperatures could reach at a minimum of 1.4C during this time. Then it will start to rise and reach to about 1.7C+ by 2027. Uncertain how strong this EL Nino will be yet, at minimum, it will be moderate. El Nino is expected to start about midway through 2026 and peak in 2027 to about 1.7C and higher. See images below (Credit Hansen) Where we stand for the year so far with 1 month to go. +1.47°C For the Year Hottest year (2024) 1.56c Second hottest year (2023) 1.45c

Looks like the access to these updates is back, from what I can see from their news page is that there was a major web server upgrade and then there was a faulty reporting to the servers and they had to halt until the data was fixed, most likely due to staff shortage. Once they have updated which they will confirm, I will update.

EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO) DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION issued by CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP/NWS 11 December 2025 ENSO Alert System Status: La Niña Advisory Synopsis: La Niña is favored to continue for the next month or two, with a transition to ENSO-neutral most likely in January-March 2026 (68% chance). La Niña persisted in November, as indicated by the continuation of below-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean [Fig. 1]. The latest weekly Niño-3.4 index value was -0.5°C, with the other Niño index values between -0.2°C and -0.4°C [Fig. 2]. Recent negative subsurface temperature anomalies weakened slightly (averaged from 180°-100°W; [Fig. 3]), but below-average temperatures continued from the surface to 200m depth in the eastern half of the equatorial Pacific [Fig. 4]. The tropical atmosphere reflected La Niña, with low-level easterly wind anomalies evident in the central Pacific and upper-level westerly wind anomalies observed across most of the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Enhanced convection persisted over Indonesia and suppressed convection was near the Date Line [Fig. 5]. The traditional and equatorial Southern Oscillation indices were positive. Collectively, the coupled ocean-atmosphere system remains consistent with La Niña. The IRI multi-model predictions indicate La Niña will continue in the December-February (DJF) 2025-26 season, but then ENSO-neutral is favored for January-March (JFM) 2026 [Fig. 6]. Together with the North American Multi-Model Ensemble, the team continues to slightly support a weak La Niña through DJF (54% chance), before transitioning to ENSO-neutral in JFM. Even after equatorial Pacific SSTs transition to ENSO-neutral, La Niña may still have some lingering influence through the early Northern Hemisphere spring 2026 (e.g., CPC's seasonal outlooks). In summary, La Niña is favored to continue for the next month or two, with a transition to ENSO-neutral most likely in January-March 2026 (68% chance; [Fig. 7]). This discussion is a consolidated effort of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), NOAA's National Weather Service, and their funded institutions. Oceanic and atmospheric conditions are updated weekly on the Climate Prediction Center web site (El Niño/La Niña Current Conditions and Expert Discussions). A probabilistic strength forecast is available here. The next ENSO Diagnostics Discussion is scheduled for 8 January 2026

Possible mega quake according to Japanese Officials. Advisory was issued today after yesterdays earthquake. https://www.cbsnews.com/news/japan-earthquake-megaquake-advisory-tsunami/

Huge disruption in the Arctic Polar Vortex, lots of warm air going in, refreezing slowed to almost to a halt. Sea Ice level at its Lowest for 3rd day in a row.

For the last few years. I have been posting the Global Temperature Updates to have an understanding of where we are at in our warming world and where we are going. As you know recently, the US Federal Government has cut funding which triggered a shutdown of non-essential operations, to which affected data needed for these updates. The last update that was obtainable was August. NASA was always the preferred choice for data to use as it seemed more realistic when it came to accuracy and consistency. Hansen recently just stated in his correspondence that he has recruited two graduates to replace a key person on these updates. So will see what updates he will use and will start posting updates again.

That critical window has passed I'm afraid, by the time 2030-2035 arrives, we will be in the 2.0C warming world. Don't really see how we wont be in the great tribulation by then.

Weak La Nina continues, transition to Neutral around January-March. El Niño is in the forecast for late next year, 2027 could be a big year for Warming. EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO) DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION issued by CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP/NWS 13 November 2025 ENSO Alert System Status: La Niña Advisory Synopsis: La Niña is favored to continue into the Northern Hemisphere winter, with a transition to ENSO-neutral most likely in January-March 2026 (61% chance). La Niña continued over the past month, as indicated by the strengthening of below-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean [Fig. 1]. The latest weekly Niño indices were between -0.5°C and -0.7°C, with the exception of the easternmost Niño-1+2 index at -0.2°C [Fig. 2]. Negative subsurface temperature anomalies persisted (averaged from 180°-100°W; [Fig. 3]), with below-average temperatures prevailing from the surface to 200m depth in the eastern half of the equatorial Pacific [Fig. 4]. The atmosphere continued to reflect La Niña, with low-level easterly wind anomalies and upper-level westerly wind anomalies observed across most of the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Enhanced convection persisted over Indonesia and was weakly suppressed near the Date Line [Fig. 5]. Both the traditional and equatorial Southern Oscillation indices were positive. Collectively, the coupled ocean-atmosphere system reflected La Niña. The IRI multi-model predictions favor La Niña to continue through December-February (DJF) 2025-26 [Fig. 6]. While also considering predictions from the North American Multi-Model Ensemble, the ENSO team believes uncertainty for the DJF season is high with La Niña (51% chance) slightly favored over ENSO-neutral (48% chance). La Niña is expected to remain weak (3-month average Niño-3.4 index value at or between -0.5°C and -0.9°C). A weak La Niña would be less likely to result in conventional winter impacts, though predictable signals could still influence the forecast guidance (e.g., CPC's seasonal outlooks). In summary, La Niña is favored to continue into the Northern Hemisphere winter, with a transition to ENSO-neutral most likely in January-March 2026 (61% chance; [Fig. 7]). This discussion is a consolidated effort of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), NOAA's National Weather Service, and their funded institutions. Oceanic and atmospheric conditions are updated weekly on the Climate Prediction Center web site (El Niño/La Niña Current Conditions and Expert Discussions). A probabilistic strength forecast is available here. The next ENSO Diagnostics Discussion is scheduled for 11 December 2025.

Now that the 30th Conference of Parties (COP30) has come and gone, the Global Temperature increase is once again assured to go higher and faster. Limiting Global Temperature at 1.5C is no longer feasible, we are headed to 2.0C now. At the COP 30, world leaders were not able to agree on ending forest destruction and the cutting out of Fossil Fuels which are two big contributors towards Global Warming right now. Not only do extreme climate events, like droughts, floods, fires and heatwaves grow in number and severity, impacting billions of people, we are also approaching tipping points for large Earth regulating systems like the Amazon rainforest and the Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets. Everything is connected to AMOC, once these Earth regulating systems fail, AMOC will shutdown. Humanity is on a suicide run and cant be stopped. Jehovah will have to step in. A Great Tribulation is coming soon.

Looking at some of the forecast from WMO report and also CERES data with the albedo (Dimming of Earth) we may see a very strong El Niño as early as 2027 and it may be a lot worst than 2023 & 2024 El Niño. WMO is stating that there is an 80% chance that temperatures on earth will be worst than 2024 in the next 5 years. After this La Niña, we may be heading in a territory never seen before.

It is now at 185 mph and is second strongest by wind speed and pressure at its center at 892 mb, 190 mph is strongest ever recorded.

July 2025 Global Temperature Update, Third Warmest July on Record +1.28°C👇 Temperature Mean (1880-1920)NASA Current record (2024) (+1.45C) Second record (2023) (+1.44C) +1.48°C👇 For the Year Hottest year (2024) 1.56c Second hottest year (2023) 1.45c +1.51°C👇 Last 12 Months

La Niña on the horizon, will most likely last until January. Then back to neutral. EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO) DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION issued by CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP/NWS 14 August 2025 ENSO Alert System Status: La Niña Watch Synopsis: ENSO-neutral is most likely through the late Northern Hemisphere summer 2025 (56% chance in August-October). Thereafter, a brief period of La Niña conditions is favored in the fall and early winter 2025-26 before reverting to ENSO-neutral. During the past month, ENSO-neutral continued, with near-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) established across most of the equatorial Pacific Ocean [Fig. 1]. With the exception of the easternmost Niño-1+2 index (+0.8°C), the latest weekly Niño SST index values ranged from -0.3°C to +0.0°C [Fig. 2]. Subsurface temperature anomalies in the eastern Pacific Ocean became weakly negative over the past month [Fig. 3], with below-average temperatures generally observed between 25- and 200-meters [Fig. 4]. Low-level wind anomalies were easterly over the east-central and eastern tropical Pacific, while upper-level wind anomalies were westerly over the west-central and eastern tropical Pacific. Convection remained enhanced over a small region of Indonesia and was suppressed over the western tropical Pacific [Fig. 5]. Collectively, the coupled ocean-atmosphere system in the tropical Pacific reflected ENSO-neutral. The IRI predictions indicate ENSO-neutral is most likely to persist through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2025-26 [Fig. 6]. However, similar to last month, the North American Multi-Model Ensemble favors La Niña conditions for a short duration during the Northern Hemisphere fall and early winter. Based on this guidance and recent changes in the tropical Pacific, the forecast team narrowly favors La Niña thresholds being reached in three overlapping, 3-month seasons (Niño-3.4 index ≤ -0.5°C during September-November, October-December, and November-January). In summary, ENSO-neutral is most likely through the late Northern Hemisphere summer 2025 (56% chance in August-October). Thereafter, a brief period of La Niña conditions is favored in the fall and early winter 2025-26 before reverting to ENSO-neutral [Fig. 7]. This discussion is a consolidated effort of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), NOAA's National Weather Service, and their funded institutions. Oceanic and atmospheric conditions are updated weekly on the Climate Prediction Center web site (El Niño/La Niña Current Conditions and Expert Discussions). A probabilistic strength forecast is available here. The next ENSO Diagnostics Discussion is scheduled for 11 September 2025.

World Oceans getting really hot again, catching up to the 2023 & 2024 records. https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/sst_daily/?dm_id=world2 Meanwhile, in the Mediterranean Sea is well above record temp, is this due to the Ship emissions control that took affect on May 1st? https://climate.copernicus.eu/sites/default/files/2025-07/C3S_Bulletin_temp_202506_FigH6b_timeseries_daily_sst_western_mediterranean.pdf

I’m sure you already know, there are many facets when it comes to making forecasts, weather balloons, Satellite Data, Buoys, so less workforce means less data collection, less data collection means less accuracy to forecasting and possibly timely forecasting. In the Monthly Global Temperature Update that I do, the data I collect to post the Monthly temperature came from a NASA scientist who no longer updates due to the cuts, actually she took early retirement, so now I have to retrieve the data from a different source and make the conversion from the 1951-1980 mean that is posted and convert it to 1880-1920 mean to get the data that was once all readily easily available to the public. Forecasts will still be there but may not always be as timely and accurate.