Lewis

A study released a couple of years ago shows there is a link between Arctic Ice melt and European heatwaves and the coming heatwaves in the US/Canada, and the cold blob that is building by Greenland is all connected. Anthropogenic Global Warming is the blame. https://wcd.copernicus.org/articles/5/109/2024/wcd-5-109-2024.pdf https://www.science.org/content/article/cold-blob-arctic-meltwater-may-be-causing-european-heat-waves

Over 1k Deaths so far and 50k missing latest data

Significant, dangerous heat wave expected next week for the Central to Eastern U.S A dangerous heat dome is expect on the east coast next week according to NOAA. A temperature range between 90-110 with overnight lows to also be very warm bringing little relief.

El Niño is at +1.73C as of Saturday, getting close to a Very Strong or Super El Niño Strength (+2.0C).

Antarctica now 3rd lowest, losing gains during winter.

Almost 100% probability from June through March for El Niño, extreme weather around the globe incoming… The Indian Ocean Dipole is looking to be Positive around August, adding to what El Niño is already bringing. EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO) DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION issued by CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP/NWS 11 June 2026 ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño Advisory Synopsis: El Niño conditions are present and expected to strengthen into the Northern Hemisphere winter 2026-27. El Niño conditions developed over the past month, as shown by above-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the central to eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean [Fig. 1]. The latest weekly Niño-3.4 index value was +0.7°C, with the westernmost (Niño-4) and easternmost (Niño-1+2) indices at +0.7°C and +2.1°C, respectively [Fig. 2]. The equatorial subsurface temperature index (average from 180°-100°W) decreased in the past month [Fig. 3], but significantly above-average subsurface temperatures remained in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific [Fig. 4]. Low-level westerly wind anomalies and upper-level easterly wind anomalies were evident over the central equatorial Pacific. Convection was slightly above average over the central and east-central equatorial Pacific and was near or below average over Indonesia [Fig. 5]. The traditional and equatorial Southern Oscillation indices were negative. Collectively, the coupled ocean-atmosphere system reflected the onset of El Niño conditions. The North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) average, including the NCEP CFSv2 [Fig. 6], forecasts El Niño to intensify into the Northern Hemisphere winter 2026-27. High confidence in El Niño [Fig. 7] is also linked to anomalously high oceanic heat content and expanding westerly wind anomalies across the equatorial Pacific Ocean. There is a 63% chance of a very strong El Niño during November-January [Fig. 8] that would rank among the largest El Niño events in the historical record going back to 1950. Even very strong El Niño events do not lead to the expected impact everywhere, but stronger events can more significantly tilt the odds in favor of expected outcomes (see CPC outlooks for probabilities of seasonal anomalies). In summary, El Niño conditions are present and expected to strengthen into the Northern Hemisphere winter 2026-27. This discussion is a consolidated effort of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), NOAA's National Weather Service, and their funded institutions. Oceanic and atmospheric conditions are updated weekly on the Climate Prediction Center web site (El Niño/La Niña Current Conditions and Expert Discussions). A probabilistic strength forecast is available here. The next ENSO Diagnostics Discussion is scheduled for 9 July 2026.

May 2026 Global Temperature Update, 2nd Warmest May on Record +1.38°C Temperature Mean May (1880-1920)NASA Current record (2024) (+1.43C) +1.47°C👇 For the Year Hottest year (2024) 1.56c Second hottest year (2025) 1.46c Third hottest year (2023) 1.45c +1.43°C👆 Last 12 Months

Early stages of coupling between the Atmosphere and the Equatorial Pacific Ocean as the Southern Oscillation Index has reached the El Niño Threshold. https://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/?ninoIndex=nino3.4&index=rnino34&period=weekly#tabs=Overview Earth is primed for a historic El Niño.

Ocean at record level heat and will probably be at record level for a while.

Climate Analyzer is showing that we are in a preliminary stage of Strong Category, the speed of this El Niño is nuts. Only year stronger was in 2015 and that wasn’t until October. There’s no question we will see temperatures over 2.0C and even as high as 3.0C above normal, going to be a wild ride for the next 2 years.

Posted the wrong chart. So the average is more around +3.5C and a few of the plume models showing past +4.0C. Heres a chart made by a meteorologist that shows stripes of various strengths.

New EMCWF plumes forecast, a bit stronger than the May 1 forecast. The average the models are showing seem to be around the +3.0C above average range which would be historic and into the uncharted territory, and since the spring predictability barrier is pretty much over, this forecast should be taken seriously.

El Niño just crossed the +1.0C line, now at Moderate Strength.

Latest CFSv2 Forecast, This is the biggest forecast ever and this thing continues to grow.

This is really big news. The collapsing of the Thwaites Glacier sea Ice Shelf is now Imminent, it is projected to break away from Antarctica this year. The cracks are quite big and visible now. This sea Ice Shelf is no longer holding the Thwaites Glacier back. Once this land Glacier starts flowing off the continent and into the sea as Icebergs, we will start seeing a calamity because it will add sea level rise worldwide. How fast will this happen, don't know. We know it will be happening. Now with this massive El Niño being formed right now, all that heat in the Ocean will just speed things up, Antarctica is now 5th lowest on record. There is a Science Article that posted yesterday about this here. Great Tribulation is right around the corner.