Global Temperature Monthly Update

[jdcarlson]

I have lived in Florida over 62 years. Before that I was in Illinois, where snow can accumulate.

 

There would be a significant problem with many houses in Florida if there were heavy snowfall.

 

Many houses in Florida have roofs with VERY shallow pitch. It is not uncommon to see a 30 ft wide building with the peak of the roof only 2 feet higher than the edge.

 

Rain will run off of that just fine. But snow just sits there. I fear many houses in Florida would have a collapsed roof with some of the snowfalls I saw when I lived in Illinois.

 

In Florida the BIG problem is hurricane resistance. I have seen pictures of whole roofs blown off of a building in a hurricane. New building codes sometimes require top plates of wall framing be anchored with 9 foot steel 1 inch in diameter fastened to the concrete foundation. Then special brackets to keep the roof trusses attached to the top plate.

 

It has only snowed very few times in the 62 years I have lived on the Gulf Coast. Even the sight of snow in the air causes many to run home and hide. One time (probably 45 years ago) there was about a 2 inch accumulation. My son wanted to build a snowman. It wasn't very good (at least by standards of a snowman in Illinois winters) but my son really enjoyed it.

 

Thanks,

 

Jim

[Lewis]

 

January 2026 Global Temperature Update, Fifth Warmest January on Record

+1.43°C👇

Temperature Mean January (1880-1920)NASA 

Current record (2025) (+1.71C)

Second record (2024) (+1.58C)

 

 

 

+1.43°C

For the Year

Hottest year (2024) 1.56c

Second hottest year (2025) 1.46c

Third hottest year (2023) 1.45c

+1.44°C

Last 12 Months

[Lewis]

This coming El Niño could become a Strong El Niño which was recently suggested by a climate scientist Leon Simons a couple of days ago, due to the amount of heat stored in the Oceans at record breaking levels. We could see a record this year for Hottest year, it seems breaking global heat records will be the norm now.

 

James Hansen (NASA) suggest we will hit 1.7C+ as a 12 month mean for 2027 if it is a moderate El Niño, Zeke Hausfather (Berkeley) suggest a bit lower than 1.7C but if its a strong El Niño it can be at 1.7C.

 

Hansen has all along maintained that fast feedback climate sensitivity is higher than the consensus of other scientists. So far its proving to be the case. So he is likely to be correct that the full earth system climate sensitivity is very high.

 

February looking to be between 1.5C-1.6C

 

 

[Barbllm]

(Yahoo News) If El Niño develops during summer, one of the biggest areas to watch is the Atlantic hurricane season, which peaks in September.

 

"El Niño tends to increase the mid- to upper-level wind shear (stronger winds with height and change in direction) on a more frequent basis across portions of the Atlantic Basin," AccuWeather Long-range Expert Paul Pastelok said. "This can lead to less storm development: a roadblock to a hyperactive hurricane season this year."

 

In general, higher wind shear can make it harder for storms to organize and strengthen, which can reduce the overall number of tropical storms and hurricanes compared to a La Niña season. El Niño's influence can also shift where storms are more likely to form, with activity sometimes favored farther out over the Atlantic rather than closer to the U.S. coastline. Meanwhile, El Niño can have the opposite effect in the eastern Pacific, where hurricane activity often increases.

 

So that's good news, at least. 

[Lewis]

1 hour ago, Barbllm said:

(Yahoo News) If El Niño develops during summer, one of the biggest areas to watch is the Atlantic hurricane season, which peaks in September.

 

"El Niño tends to increase the mid- to upper-level wind shear (stronger winds with height and change in direction) on a more frequent basis across portions of the Atlantic Basin," AccuWeather Long-range Expert Paul Pastelok said. "This can lead to less storm development: a roadblock to a hyperactive hurricane season this year."

 

In general, higher wind shear can make it harder for storms to organize and strengthen, which can reduce the overall number of tropical storms and hurricanes compared to a La Niña season. El Niño's influence can also shift where storms are more likely to form, with activity sometimes favored farther out over the Atlantic rather than closer to the U.S. coastline. Meanwhile, El Niño can have the opposite effect in the eastern Pacific, where hurricane activity often increases.

 

So that's good news, at least. 

 

Most likely to develop before summer according to latest data.

[Barbllm]

34 minutes ago, Lewis said:

 

Most likely to develop before summer according to latest data.

Well, the official season is June 1-November 30. Anything that leads to less hurricanes is good.

 

[Lewis]

Fourth warmest during a La Niña, now imagine a year from now with a very strong El Niño. Looking like El Niño will start to emerge late April/May.

February 2026 Global Temperature Update, Tied 4th Warmest February on Record

+1.54°C

Temperature Mean February (1880-1920)NASA 

Current record (2024) (+1.74C)

Second (2016) (+1.67C)

Third (2025) (+1.56C)

Tied Fourth (2020&2026) (+1.54C)

 

 

 

+1.49°C👆

For the Year

Hottest year (2024) 1.56c

Second hottest year (2025) 1.46c

Third hottest year (2023) 1.45c

+1.44°C➖

Last 12 Months