Lewis

Here is a dashboard of the current El Niño that is coming, you can view its current status. It’s projected for El Niño to reach +3.9C. https://dashboard.theclimatebrink.com/#enso

In Vancouver we didn’t get any snow until February and it was minimal and didn’t last long enough to enjoy it. I have a feeling this year will be different.

Dont think anything will compare with this El Niño

EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO) DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION issued by CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP/NWS 13 August 2026 ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño Advisory Synopsis: El Niño is strengthening, with a greater than 90% chance of a very strong event during the Northern Hemisphere fall and winter 2026-27. El Niño strengthened over the past month, with sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding +2.0°C in the eastern equatorial Pacific [Fig. 1]. The July Niño index values were +1.4°C in Niño-3.4, +1.7°C in Niño-3, and +2.9°C in Niño-1+2 [Fig. 2]. The equatorial subsurface temperature index (average from 180°-100°W) increased during July [Fig. 3], reflecting a deeper-than-average thermocline [Fig. 4]. Subsurface temperature anomalies were significant, reaching +10.0°C at depth. Low-level westerly wind anomalies and upper-level easterly wind anomalies extended from the western to east-central equatorial Pacific. Convection and rainfall were enhanced from the central to eastern Pacific and were suppressed over Indonesia [Fig. 5]. The traditional and equatorial Southern Oscillation indices were significantly negative, with values near 2 standard deviations during July. Collectively, the coupled ocean-atmosphere system reflected a strengthening El Niño. The CPC Official ENSO outlook, which synthesizes multiple models from North America and abroad, indicates El Niño will continue to strengthen through the end of the year [Figs. 6-7-8]. During the October-December 2026 season, there is a 69% chance of a historic event that would exceed the strength of previous El Niño events dating back to 1950 (+2.5°C or more for a 3-month RONI value). With an event of this magnitude, the chances of experiencing impacts consistent with El Niño are larger, but they are not guaranteed (see CPC outlooks for probabilities of seasonal anomalies). In summary, El Niño is strengthening, with a greater than 90% chance of a very strong event during the Northern Hemisphere fall and winter 2026-27. This discussion is a consolidated effort of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), NOAA's National Weather Service, and their funded institutions. Oceanic and atmospheric conditions are updated weekly on the Climate Prediction Center web site (El Niño/La Niña Current Conditions and Expert Discussions). A probabilistic strength forecast is available here. The next ENSO Diagnostics Discussion is scheduled for 10 September 2026.

ECMWF shows it is colder than normal and wet in the south. Dec/Jan especially.

Weirdly just stopped freezing in Antarctica. That red line is 2026

Chances are extremely high now that 2026 will be hottest on record. July 2026 Global Temperature Update, Warmest July on Record +1.47°C Temperature Mean July (1880-1920)NASA Current Record (2026) (+1.47C) Second (2024) (+1.44C) Third (2023) (+1.43C) +1.48°C➖ For the Year Hottest year (2024) 1.56c Second hottest year (2025) 1.46c Third hottest year (2023) 1.45c +1.46°C👆 Last 12 Months

Antarctica now at 2nd lowest. Massive Ice losses for 3 days straight during refreeze season. Melting season starts around Nov 1st. Ocean are at its hottest ever since record keeping began.

Record breaking El Niño, +2.76C now. we are going to have a really dangerous winter coming up, forecast models are calling a very dangerous winter this year.

I was suppose to go to a Ski resort for service work today, had to cancel due to the very bad air quality from the wildfires, there was a Code Orange warning in place.

The rapid increase in a single day is crazy, now at +2.63C

ECMWF just released the latest forecast plumes, it seems to be peaking closer to +4.0C or greater above average temperature, which is higher than July’s forecast. All of the extreme weather that is happening right now is not due to El Niño yet but its about to begin soon.

El Niño at +2.54C, We may be seeing this event go into 2028 as well.

Visual of smoke from Wildfires for the month of July coming from North America and Europe. https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/vis/a000000/a005600/a005666/SmokeIntensity_EuropeanWildfires_073026_1920x1080.mp4

Latest projection made by NMME is that earth will reach about +1.9C - +2.5C in temperature above preindustrial each month next year, Hansen projects this very sharp rise in temperature will start even earlier in the next couple of months once the Super El Niño kicks into gear.

El Niño is now at +2.32C creeping closer to strongest ever recorded in human history (+2.75C), it is forecast to surpass and be around +3.6C or stronger. Get ready for wild weather this year and next year especially.

Yeah too early for sure on the assessment, the bad news is, this will only get worst, already at 380,000 evacuated. If these heatwaves keep coming, it will only fuel this enormous wildfire.

From what I read that this movie is violent and intense, I also read that people rate this as a soft rated R movie because its not as “Gory”, no matter how I look at it, I cant stand watching this type of violence, its not entertaining to me and conscience tells me to stay away. We have been exposed to this form of entertainment for so long I think we have become inured to this type of content as a society.

Wildfires in France and Spain out of control, at least 220,000 people evacuated so far. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/czjlenp0xk8o British Columbia Wildfires also getting bad, couple of Highways were closed. Anyone here have information about how the brothers/sisters are doing?

The Y axis has been increased to 10C above normal now on this chart to show the true heat that is coming out of the Ocean, going to be a rough winter and next year coming.

Correction on the June update, June 2024 still holds the warmest title, NASA made an update for June 2024 to +1.52C so that makes June 2026 Second Warmest. I have a revised corrected list now. We should start seeing large climate impact soon from this Super El Niño , there’s a strong chance now that 2026 will beat 2024 as warmest.

The earliest we reached Super El Niño Status was in August 30, 1997 until we broke that record two days ago on July 8th, 2026. Forecast plumes are predicting between +3.0C and +4.0C above average for Earth on top of the +1.5C that we have accumulated since pre-industrial, which are temperatures that we have never seen before. The extreme weather that is coming will be historical. EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO) DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION issued by CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP/NWS 9 July 2026 ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño Advisory Synopsis: El Niño continues and will strengthen through the end of the year, with a 97% chance it will persist through early spring 2027. El Niño strengthened over the past month, with a large area of sea surface temperature anomalies in excess of +1.0°C across the central and eastern equatorial Pacific [Fig. 1]. The latest weekly Niño-3.4 index value was +1.2°C, with the westernmost (Niño-4) and easternmost (Niño-1+2) indices at +0.5°C and +2.7°C, respectively [Fig. 2]. The equatorial subsurface temperature index (average from 180°-100°W) increased [Fig. 3], as a recent downwelling Kelvin wave deepened the thermocline and raised temperatures in the eastern Pacific [Fig. 4]. Low-level westerly wind anomalies and upper-level easterly wind anomalies were observed over the western and central equatorial Pacific. Convection was enhanced over the central and east-central equatorial Pacific and was suppressed over Indonesia [Fig. 5]. The traditional and equatorial Southern Oscillation indices were significantly negative. Collectively, the coupled ocean-atmosphere system reflected a strengthening El Niño. The North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) average, including the NCEP CFSv2 [Fig. 6], forecasts El Niño to intensify through 2026. Alongside model forecasts, a strong coupling of the atmospheric and oceanic circulation across the Pacific contributes to very high confidence that El Niño will continue through early 2027 [Fig. 7]. There is an 81% chance of a very strong El Niño during October-December [Fig. 8] that would rank among the largest El Niño events in the historical record going back to 1950. Even the strongest El Niño events do not lead to the typical impact everywhere, but stronger events can more significantly tilt the odds in favor of expected outcomes (see CPC outlooks for probabilities of seasonal anomalies). In summary, El Niño continues and will strengthen through the end of the year, with a 97% chance it will last through early spring 2027. This discussion is a consolidated effort of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), NOAA's National Weather Service, and their funded institutions. Oceanic and atmospheric conditions are updated weekly on the Climate Prediction Center web site (El Niño/La Niña Current Conditions and Expert Discussions). A probabilistic strength forecast is available here. The next ENSO Diagnostics Discussion is scheduled for 13 August 2026.

June 2026 was hottest on record beating June 2024. From June 2023 to July 2024 for 14 consecutive months, earth broke records for warmest months. We will most likely see that record streak extend. June 2026 Global Temperature Update, Warmest June on Record +1.51°C Temperature Mean June (1880-1920)NASA Current Record (2026) (+1.51C) +1.48°C👆 For the Year Hottest year (2024) 1.56c Second hottest year (2025) 1.46c Third hottest year (2023) 1.45c +1.44°C👆 Last 12 Months

We have crossed the +2.0C (+2.01C) and Earth is now in a Very Strong (Super) El Niño status. Will take a few months before we start feeling the maximum effects of it.

Latest forecast on Nino 3.4, a bit stronger than June’s forecast.