Arctic Sea Ice

[bagwell1987]

I can understand this, I was remembering times past with a fella from work yesterday, I remembered snow so bad we had to use a rake to take it off the shed roof on the house or it would crush the roof, that was 1972 and again in 1988. An arctic blast wasn't unusual for us. But in the last 25 years we are so much warmer. Now we may have 2 times a winter with freezing Temps for 3 days.  Not so amazing. Weird. Wonder if it'll change back before the new world.

[Lewis]

22 hours ago, bagwell1987 said:

I can understand this, I was remembering times past with a fella from work yesterday, I remembered snow so bad we had to use a rake to take it off the shed roof on the house or it would crush the roof, that was 1972 and again in 1988. An arctic blast wasn't unusual for us. But in the last 25 years we are so much warmer. Now we may have 2 times a winter with freezing Temps for 3 days.  Not so amazing. Weird. Wonder if it'll change back before the new world.

Yeah I remember really good winters back in the 80s as well back east, lots of snow, I used to go with my dad on snowmobiles, it was a lot of fun. The arctic blasts were healthier then too, not so much now, not until the new system.

 

 

[Lewis]

On 2/17/2021 at 9:08 PM, Lewis said:

The Arctic Sea Ice melted over 103,000 square kilometres today, something that never happens during winter there. Seems to be an anomalous transport of heat and moisture being brought to the North Pole. While the cold is shifting elsewhere around the world, this is all the same event that is being brought on by abrupt climate change.

Yet again another over 103,000 square kilometres melted today, something that does not happen in a normal freezing cycle.

[Lewis]

Animation of loss of multi-year old sea ice due to global warming. Once a blue ocean event happens the center of cold shifts to Greenland which disrupts the Northern Hemisphere jet streams in unpredictable ways, releasing seabed methane and leading to possible 15C temp increase. Birth Pangs will be great if this happens the way its being projected. 

 

 

[Lewis]

Guy McPherson (a Climate Scientist) reporting of a possible Blue Ocean Event in 2022 happening based on peer review papers by multiple scientists saying that it could very well happen next year. I personally dont think it will but we shall see.

 

 

[Lewis]

Ice projection in the Arctic this year indicates a continuous fall this July without the wobble like last year (second graph). For this to happen we would need continuing losses.

 

 

 

Losses have been getting greater each day and making our way up to lowest ice soon if the trend continues.

 

 

 

 

[Lewis]

The Arctic is warming three times faster than the equator right now, below is the Arctic Ocean warming stripes, showing it is warming faster than anywhere in the world. Nobody is immune to what’s coming out from the Arctic. For example, the jet stream currently pulling the heat from the equator to the western side of the North America causing major heatwaves and droughts, thats just one example.

 

 

[Lewis]

Big ice losses recorded today of about 150k km2, biggest loss we’ve had since April 20th. This heatwave that the Pacific Northwest is having is effecting the Ice in the Arctic Circle now, the next coming week should continue having these types of losses.

 

Edited June 27, 2021 by Lewis

[Lewis]

Big ice loss again dropping huge numbers since July 1st, back to back to back days of huge losses, almost half a million km2 loss.

 

It seems this forecast might be on track. Meaning it is out doing year 2020 so far, and its just a normal year. Waiting for more data from the pros.

 

[Lewis]

And the big ice loss trend continues. We are now lowest ever since July 1st.

 

 

 

[Lewis]

Ice forecast vs observed model is very consistent for this year. Very similar to year 2020 which was a record year for ice loss.

 

 

Last years (2020) forecast vs observed

 

A potential double dip La Niña year and 2021 is close behind 2020. Imagine if this was an El Niño year, oh boy.

 

 

[Lewis]

Professor Jason Box is one of the most qualified people on the planet talking about the conditions in the Arctic right now, he reffers the rate of the Arctic melting rate to humans being like frogs in a boiling pot and once the pot boils its too late, well the pot is boiling now.

 

 

 

[Lewis]

Global Sea Ice as a whole has hit lowest levels as of yesterday, when Antarctica starts to refreeze and the Arctic thawing this is when the anomalies would occur.

 

Right now Antarctica isn’t refreezing as fast as it normally would and the Arctic is getting a lot of warm air.

 

Edited March 17, 2022 by Lewis

[Lewis]

Arctic and the Antarctica were recorded to be 50 degrees (Arctic) and 70 degrees (Antarctica) above normal, something that doesn't happen around this time of the year, if this continues, we could see a global problem coming from this.

 

https://roanoke.com/news/science/hot-poles-antarctica-arctic-70-and-50-degrees-above-normal/article_57a334c0-c361-5f62-9bfe-f73e89b363b0.html

 

 

[Lewis]

Heatwaves at both poles continue during the weekend. Not good.

 

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/mar/20/heatwaves-at-both-of-earth-poles-alarm-climate-scientists?CMP=oth_b-aplnews_d-1

[Friends just call me Ross]

Hopefully the first article you posted is right and the South Pole's heatwave is just a temporary anomaly and the weather will revert to a more

normal range. 🤔

[Lewis]

 

Yeah scientists are baffled as to why its so hot. Both poles in the graph below showing red as of mar 17th and is continuing for a 5th day.

https://climatereanalyzer.org/reanalysis/daily_maps/?dm_id=world-ced&wm_id=t2anom

 

 

[Lewis]

A steady decline of sea ice melt detected in the Arctic this week which has been above average for this time of year, lots of heat melting out the Hudson, Chukchi, Kara and laptev seas.

We’re about 228k from being lowest on record after being in a distant position due to La Niña keeping the earth cooler.

Another note is that total Global Sea Ice Area and Extent are now 2nd lowest, Antarctica is well below average for sea ice gains.

 

Blue Ocean Event by 2030? Who knows. But one thing is certain, it is gaining speed.

 

 

Lots of clouds so hard to see the ice movements.

 

 

[Lewis]

Melt season for the Arctic will start around March, I expect to see new record lows in late 2023 and especially in 2024 when El Niño is projected to be at its peak.

 

Here’s a graph showing record highs and lows from 1979 to 2022, (Data from Zach Labe)

 

[Lewis]

Currently a heat dome is taking place over Arctic and Greenland and an extreme melt event is under way. Arctic has already lost about 900 000 km2 of sea ice in the last week. Greenland had extreme melt for the last 5 days which is about 2 weeks ahead of normal.

 

I don't see a threat of the Arctic sea ice melting out this year, but the weather behavior in the Arctic circle has been abnormal this year.

 

[Lewis]

Extreme melt continues in Greenland.

 

At least 50% of Greenland is melting. Melt is higher than average

 

 

[Lewis]

Over 60% of Greenland is melting, extreme melt continues.

 

[Lewis]

Almost 70% of Greenland is now melting. Uncharted territory.

 

 

[bagwell1987]

I'm finding this information 

https://nsidc.org/greenland-today/

As of June 15, Greenland has had a near-average melt year. Total melt-day area ranked twenty-third in the 45-year-satellite record with the present data, which includes a small region near Jakobshavn Glacier that is over-reporting melt in an area with below-freezing air temperatures (Figure 1). Surface melting can occur when air temperatures at 2 to 3 meters (7 to 10 feet) above the surface (the average height of sensors on a weather station) are within a few degrees of melting, but we are re-evaluating the melt algorithm in this region. Melting is slightly above average in both southeastern and southern Greenland, and slightly below average along most of the rest of the western coast. As of June 15, neither the South Summit nor any regions along the northwestern, northern, or northeastern coast have experienced significant surface melting.

 

 

Edited July 9, 2023 by bagwell1987
Grammer

[Lewis]

June was around average until near the end of the month when the accumulative melt extent started to accelerate that was well above normal.