The point I'm trying to make might be better with scenarios... I'm not saying to not mask or social distance, just the vaccination.
Let's say we have Bob. Who either doesn't trust the vaccine, is scared of it, or just doesn't want it because immunity or something of the sort.
Scenario One: Bob isn't vaccinated. Sally who is either vaccinated or not vaccinated since she can still catch it either way, comes to work with covid because she doesn't know she has it. Bob gets it.Bob gets severely sick and maybe dies because he was unvaccinated. Job loses a worker.
Scenario Two: Bob isn't vaccinated but is being forced by the mandate to get vaccinated or lose his job. Bob refuses. Job loses a worker.
Scenario Three: Bob isn't vaccinated, same thing as Scenario One happens, but Bob doesn't get severely sick, even being unvaccinated. Job doesn't lose a worker.
Scenario Four: Bob isn't vaccinated but gets the ultimatum to lose job or get it. Bob gets it, he turns into one of the rare cases that had a complication, Job loses a worker.
In Scenario 1, 2, and 4, the job loses a worker. Through death, walking out, or death/complications again.
Scenario 3, has a chance of death, but if it doesn't happen, the job doesn't lose a worker.
So wouldn't the no mandates, scenario 3 be the better risk? All scenarios are assuming Bob is still smart and adheres to masks and social distancing, just doesn't want the vaccine.