I don't see it. Russia is really struggling in Ukraine ...big statements from Kremlin little action everywhere else. Ukraine is improving their own weapons manufacturing very efficiently ... Russia is loosing 5000 soldiers a week? .. how on earth this can be sustainable long term? I have opposite view.. all the noise Russia is making now is out of desperation...
According to the most recent reports, Ukraine is now producing over 4 million drones annually, but has the potential to double that number with sufficient funding.
Approximately 800 arms producers are currently operating in Ukraine, with more than 200 of them producing drones.https://www.euronews.com/2025/09/25/made-in-ukraine-and-battlefield-tested-kyiv-to-open-up-global-arms-exports
Much of Trump’s post focused on taunting Putin over his faltering invasion. In characteristically abrasive language, the US leader mocked the Russian army’s lack of progress in Ukraine and suggested Moscow was facing major economic problems due to the spiraling cost of the war. “Russia has been fighting aimlessly for three and a half years a war that should have taken a real military power less than a week to win,” Trump wrote. “This is not distinguishing Russia. In fact, it is very much making them look like a paper tiger.”Trump himself has suggested that his new assessment of the war is based on a detailed understanding of the current military and economic situation in Russia and Ukraine. This version has been endorsed by US Vice President JD Vance, who commented this week that Trump has “grown very confident this war is bad for Russia.”https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/trump-called-russia-a-paper-tiger-because-he-believes-putin-is-losing/
Russia has lost around 1,106,430 troops in Ukraine since the beginning of its full-scale invasion on Feb. 24, 2022, the General Staff of Ukraine's Armed Forces reported on Sept. 26.
The number includes 940 casualties that Russian forces suffered over the past day. (yesterday - in one day only.) https://kyivindependent.com/general-staff-russia-has-lost-1-106-430-troops-in-ukraine-since-feb-24-2022/
Russian forces have advanced at an incremental pace. Since November 2022, Russian forces have only captured 5,842 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory, accounting for about 0.97% of the country's landmass, the DeepState monitoring group said in August.https://kyivindependent.com/trump-says-russia-gained-virtually-no-land-in-ukraine-despite-heavy-costs/