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The Mysterious Coronavirus Spreading Worldwide


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The reason confirmed cases continues to rise so rapidly could be because

the degree of contagion is so high.

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How contagious is the Wuhan Coronavirus? (Ro)

 

The attack rate or transmissibility (how rapidly the disease spreads) of a virus is indicated by its reproductive number (Ro, pronounced R-nought or r-zero), which represents the average number of people who will catch the disease from a single infected person.

 

A more recent study is indicating a Ro as high as 4.08..[22].. This value substantially exceeds WHO's estimate (made on Jan. 23) of between 1.4 and 2.5[13], and is also higher than recent estimates between 3.6 and 4.0 and between 2.24 to 3.58 [23]. Preliminary studies had estimated Ro to be between 1.5 and 3.5 [5][6][7]

 

Based on these numbers, on average every case of the Novel Coronavirus would create 3 to 4 new cases.

 

An outbreak with a reproductive number of below 1 will gradually disappear.

For comparison, the Ro for the common flu is 1.3 and for SARS it was 2.0.

 

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#repro

 

Macaw.gif.7e20ee7c5468da0c38cc5ef24b9d0f6d.gifRoss

Nobody has to DRIVE me crazy.5a5e0e53285e2_Nogrinning.gif.d89ec5b2e7a22c9f5ca954867b135e7b.gif  I'm close enough to WALK. 5a5e0e77dc7a9_YESGrinning.gif.e5056e95328247b6b6b3ba90ddccae77.gif

 

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1 hour ago, Lewis said:

Interesting..

 

Tencent may have accidentally leaked real data on Wuhan virus deaths and infected according to Taiwan News.

 

Tencent briefly listed 154,023 infected and 24,589 death.

 

https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/3871594

 

3EDB6128-B39E-46B8-AEC6-C6D292D316C8.jpeg.ea7c1d94f20458f450d723f8bd1bbf34.jpeg

That does look like the real number, and I agree that China would try to hide or lower the true death toll by listing other causes in death papers. 

 

We have already got about 350 suspected cases of coronavirus in my home country, which borders China. The local government is so incompetent and corrupt that I am thinking that the epidemic will be far worse than in China. 

 

As you may have heard, people are even dying on the streets due to lack of resources in China. 🙁

 

The GT has not started yet, and it is already quite scary. I can only imagine what it will be like during the GT

 


Edited by Bek
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There are now 12 confirmed cases of the novel coronavirus in the US and the first confirmed case in Wisconsin.

https://www.cnn.com/asia/live-news/coronavirus-outbreak-02-05-20-intl-hnk/index.html

Wisconsin?!  Wisconsin is right nextdoor!  :(

 

Macaw.gif.7e20ee7c5468da0c38cc5ef24b9d0f6d.gifRoss

Nobody has to DRIVE me crazy.5a5e0e53285e2_Nogrinning.gif.d89ec5b2e7a22c9f5ca954867b135e7b.gif  I'm close enough to WALK. 5a5e0e77dc7a9_YESGrinning.gif.e5056e95328247b6b6b3ba90ddccae77.gif

 

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5 hours ago, Friends just call me Ross said:

This is what CoronavirusN-19 looks like:

 

 

 

Sort a' looks like an X-mas tree ornament.

 

 

5 hours ago, SUNRAY said:

..Or a raggedy Ann doll with little braids!😎

Or the planet from The Little Prince

 

littleprince6-jumbo.jpg?quality=90&auto=


Edited by Shawnster
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Tencent may have accidentally leaked real data on Wuhan virus deaths

Tencent briefly lists 154,023 infections and 24,589 deaths from Wuhan coronavirus

  967045 
  
By Keoni Everington, Taiwan News, Staff Writer
2020/02/05 18:59
Left to right are "nationally confirmed cases," "suspected cases," "cured," and "deaths." (Internet photo)

Left to right are "nationally confirmed cases," "suspected cases," "cured," and "deaths." (Internet photo) 

TAIPEI (Taiwan News) — As many experts question the veracity of China's statistics for the Wuhan coronavirus outbreak, Tencent over the weekend seems to have inadvertently released what is potentially the actual number of infections and deaths, which were astronomically higher than official figures.

On late Saturday evening (Feb. 1), Tencent, on its webpage titled "Epidemic Situation Tracker," showed confirmed cases of novel coronavirus (2019nCoV) in China as standing at 154,023, 10 times the official figure at the time. It listed the number of suspected cases as 79,808, four times the official figure.

 
 
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8 hours ago, SUNRAY said:

https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/3869848

 

Corona Virus may be unkillable. Recovered patients could get sick again!

Corona virus is a term used to describe a huge and ever changing family or virus. It could mistake toward strength ( lethality) or weakness in each generation. It could literally change just enough within a person to then immediately reinfect that same person. 

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https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-51371770

How the new coronavirus will finally get a proper name

They (  ICTV study group ) are now submitting the name to a scientific journal for publication and hope to announce it within days.

 

The World Health Organization (WHO) has recommended the temporary name 2019-nCoV, which includes the year it was discovered, "n" to denote new or novel, and "CoV" for coronavirus. But it has not exactly stuck.

"The name it has now is not easy to use and the media and the public are using other names for the virus," says Dr Watson.

"The danger when you don't have an official name is that people start using terms like China Virus, and that can create a backlash against certain populations."

With social media, unofficial names take hold quickly and are hard to take back, she says.

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https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/health/2020/02/06/coronavirus-wuhan-china-recurring-winter-illness-flu/4665482002/

 

When will the threat of coronavirus end? It might return every winter

 

"many researchers think the new virus, called 2019-nCoV, might be here to stay. Like swine flu, it could become a regular ingredient in a winter soup of respiratory bugs that cause common colds and other illnesses — only without the fanfare of travel restrictions and global commerce disruption"

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37 minutes ago, My little flower said:

https://bbc.in/2Uxc4gi

A Chinese doctor who tried to issue the first warnings about the deadly coronavirus outbreak has died of the infection, Chinese media say.

Did he die from the virus ..

           or from trying to warn about the virus?

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